Amish population growth projections. Counties with Amish settlements in 2021.
Amish population growth projections , 2013 1 billion Americans: American Amish have the highest population growth in the world with an average 7 children (and trending up) per family. In the meantime you can find the tables and map here. Nov 16, 2023 · The big takeaway is that the world population will continue to increase for several decades, peak sometime before 2100 and decline thereafter. Total Amish population (currently 250,000) hits a million sometime in the 2050s, and rockets from there. ” They reference an Amish population doubling time of 20. The table includes all Amish groups that use horse-and-buggy transportation, but excludes car-driving May 2023 Mission to Amish People Update 575 US Highway 250 | Greenwich, OH 44837 | Office: (419) 962-1515 In This Issue Revival and Ramifications of Amish Population Growth Daniel Miller Nov 26, 2018 · The Amish community in the U. Updated 1/15/2025 Description and Methodology Population Overview Population Growth Overview Table Growth Tables 2020-23 Estimates 2020-2030 2030-2040 2040-2050 2050-2060 County Population by Race Join the College of Public Health for a special guest lecture by Cory Anderson, Ph. The Amish are currently found in 32 states. By 2100, projections put the Amish population around 3. One reason for this is that many Amish tend to have large families. Keywords: Amish, census, settlement, church districts States ranked according to Amish population in 2019. They predict a peak 10. g. We would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. However, most of the research on demographic trends fails to examine variation across affiliations. Oct 25, 2018 · Is the Northeast, in general, an attractive area for the Amish to live? Going by population density, six of the top ten most densely-populated states are in the Northeast (Maine, Vermont and New Hampshire are the outliers, ranging from #21 to #38). Large Amish families lead to high growth One reason the Amish population grows so quickly is the large family size among Amish. The Amish population continues growing at a high rate, with over 400,000 Amish people living in America in over 650 communities. We include tables showing the 25 largest Amish settlements, the 25 counties with the largest Amish populations, and the 25 counties with the highest percentage of Amish to their total population. World population growth 1700–2100, 2022 projection World population by age group from 1950 to 2100 (projected) [1] Human population projections are attempts to extrapolate how human populations will change in the future. Typically, 85 percent or more of the youth join the church. It predicts Amish-non-Amish parity around 2250: But in fact, the Amish will not quite be a majority of Americans in 2250, because Orthodox Jews have only-slightly-slower growth rates. Nov 14, 2025 · Researchers have seen changes in the Amish community, particularly in Lancaster County, Pennsylvania. The profiles include (1) a recent population tally and population projections to 2050, (2) population density maps, (3 Growth Trends, 2000-2025. Anderson will examine the demographic forces driving the rapid growth of Amish communities and explore how these unique patterns intersect with broader public health . The data seems to be based on population projections, that I'm not entirely clear on. Generally speaking, land prices are going to be higher than in less-populated areas, not to mention there being an overall lack of rural land and May 16, 2025 · Estimates and Projections Past, current or projected population for Tennessee – we have you covered. Tennessee Population May 28, 2024 · Ohio’s Amish population is on the rise — up nearly 10,000 people in the past five years alone, according to data collected by the Young Center for Anabaptist and Pietist Studies at Elizabethtown College. According to Young Center director Mormon and Amish population per county from year 2000 to year 2120 Momino 879 subscribers Subscribe Sep 28, 2021 · According to Anabaptist World, the Old Order Amish are experiencing explosive growth, having doubled their population in the past 20 years. While the world increase in Christianity is not keeping pace with the world population growth, the annual growth rate in The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints has marginally exceeded world growth. Discover and Share the best GIFs on Tenor. Find the state-by-state population numbers here. ” Almost without exception, these settlements are in rural counties (and county equivalents) of multiple U. Growth Trends, 2000-2024. “Projected” probably meaning that someone took the growth rate of the religious groups during some time period and thought they would keep growing at those rates indefinitely, which isn’t a projection at all it’s an extrapolation. Amish Related research and data What are the sources for Our World in Data's population estimates? Charts Age group with the largest population Annual change in GDP, population and CO₂ emissions Annual population growth with UN projections Birth rate and death rate Birth rate vs. As well, some estimates of population increase, such as by the Young Center for Anabaptist and Pietist Studies at Elizabethtown College, use net change in the number of church districts as a proxy to determine population change Reasons for Population Growth. The results are from work commissioned by the Association of Statisticians of American Religious Bodies for the recently released 2010 U. This gain of 172,780 means the Amish population has essentially doubled since the turn of the century, a growth rate of 97% over two decades. Here are five more interesting facts in Aug 3, 2022 · The Daily Caller has an article on how the Amish [Are] Projected To Overtake Current US Population In 215 Years If Growth Rates Continue. Aug 23, 2019 · The population of the Amish is projected to be greater than the current population of the United States in 215 years if the Amish growth rate, which has held constant for more than 100 years, remains the same. We'll have some posts related to this coming up, including from Joe Donnermeyer of Ohio State University. Feb 7, 2022 · Conclusion There is evidence of some very slight decline in Amish fertility, though similar declines have been previously observed. Population estimates, which include both adults and children, were calculated using a variety of sources including Raber’s New American Almanac, reports by correspondents in Die Botschaft, The Budget, and The Diary, settlement directories, regional newsletters, and settlement informants. The Amish population -- a religious group that limits its member s access to conveniences like telephones and electric lights -- is growing at an estimated 5% a year and now stands at 249,500. The population of the Amish is projected to be greater than the current population of the United States in 215 years if the Amish growth rate, which has held constant for more than 100 years, remains the same. This article profiles 38 of the largest and best known Amish settlements. Jul 3, 2025 · The North American Amish population grew by an estimated 233,045 since 2000, increasing from approximately 177,910 in 2000 to 410,955 in 2025, an increase of 131 percent. A small community for most of their existence, they now number 80,000 in Ohio alone, or about 0. Jan 28, 2013 · We started the week talking Amish population–so why don’t we close doing more of the same! First, there were a number of interesting points from the recent Young Center Amish population data that I wanted to share, but couldn’t really fit on the Amish population infographic: There are 480 Amish settlements, but most are small. Periodically, demographic estimates and forecasts of population, housing units, households, and employment are produced for the county and areas within the county. has doubled since 2000; there are now about 378,000 Amish people living in the country. 5 years, similar to that seen in these Young Center figures. Oct 19, 2019 · This article presents the findings of a county-based estimate of the Amish population. Feb 5, 2024 · Take a look at the data below to see how the Amish population grew from 1901 to 2023. Actual population figures are provided by the decennial US Census while projections are based on a methodology that uses Aroostook County level projections derived from more detailed information than is available at the local level. Increasing interactions between the Amish and the non-Amish The growing population has ramifications on Amish people and their non-Amish neighbors alike. You’ll also find the very handy county and state list showing individual communities, their size and year of founding. Jul 4, 2023 · The doubling time for the Amish population has been calculated to be anywhere from about 20. The profiles include (1) a recent population tally and population projections to 2050, (2) population density maps, (3) settlement history, (4) socio-economic attributes, (5) religious affiliations, and (6) an overview of the physical and economic landscape. There is also a low likelihood of people joining the Amish community, meaning the community is self-sustaining. , Young Center for Anabaptist and Pietist Studies, Elizabethtown College, in cooperation with Joseph F. The skyward growth has made Ohio home to more than 60,000 Amish residents — the most in any state. Yes, if you look at growth as a percentage of the Amish population it is very fast, but as a percentage of the overall population it is meaningless. Feb 6, 2024 · This growth rate is particularly noteworthy, as it indicates that the Amish population is doubling approximately every 20 years. Amish population growth is steady due to high birth rates and low attrition. They break down Amish population figures by US Census Bureau region. 3 Current work instead tracks settlement patterns (emergence, growth, decline, and extinction) and aggregate population estimates (total population, population doubling rates, etc. 97% growth since 2000. Some evidence suggests there is a gradual decline in birth rates (Wasao, Anderson and Mpody 2021), and some settlements experience higher levels of out-migration than others. The lecture will conclude with projections of population and settlement growth to the mid-century as possible presentiments of change in their cultural and social fabric. This growth can be attributed to the community's large family sizes, averaging seven children per family, as well as an impressive church-member retention rate of around 80%. May 29, 2023 · The perfect Mormon amish population projection Animated GIF for your conversation. Going beyond that, the difference seems dramatic. Alongside the population growth, the number of Amish districts has also expanded, increasing from 1,335 in 2000 to 2,914 in 2023, a net gain of 1,579 districts. 8 billion by the end of the century. According to the Young Center Settlement and district statistics were updated as of June 2024. This pattern suggests the Amish are growing more rapidly than most other reli May 23, 2025 · The Amish community is widely dispersed, with fewer numbers in the southern and western states, with Texas having the lowest recorded Amish population at just 70. +19 new settlements , 109 districts/congregations (2,827 total) and their first Settlement in the state of New Mexico. Over the past 100 years, the Amish population has doubled every 19. From information provided by Elizabethtown College, 2019 population distribution by settlement is detailed below. There are several interesting bits here, starting with the total estimated population of the Amish (United States + Canada + Bolivia) reaching 401,005 people. According to Nolt, nearly 90 percent of Amish children stay within the church. Aug 24, 2019 · The population of the Amish is projected to be greater than the current population of the United States in 215 years if the Amish growth rate, which has held constant for more than 100 years, remains the same. These tables and data include population estimates through July 1, 2023. Jul 25, 2024 · Adam Gray // Getty Images The Amish, a religious group living almost exclusively in rural America due to their agrarian lifestyle, have astounded both their rural neighbors and researchers with recent population growth. As well, some estimates of population increase, such as by the Young Center for Anabaptist and Pietist Studies at Elizabethtown College, use net change in the number of church districts as a proxy to determine population change Pennsylvania’s Amish population is the largest it’s been, prompting some Amish families in the Lancaster area to move west, researchers said. Town projections are calculated Aug 12, 2021 · The new Amish population estimates are out for 2021 via the Young Center at Elizabethtown College. Consequently, the Amish population doubles approximately every 22 years. population increases from 350 million people in 2025 to 372 million in 2055, and the average age rises. 5 million, nearly 1% of all Americans. Apr 16, 2024 · Unlike other religious groups, the Amish don't convert, so population growth comes from children. Estimates were calculated using a variety of sources including Raber’s New American Almanac, reports by correspondents in Die Botschaft, The Budget, and The Diary, settlement directories, regional newsletters, and settlement informants, and were rounded at the settlement level. Growth Trends, 2000-2025. ave potential, along Potential retail growth. It would be interesting to stick around and see if that pans out. Exact figures aren’t known but it’s estimated the average Amish woman has between 6 and 7 kids. Population pyramids render the growth, decline The population of the Amish is projected to be greater than the current population of the United States in 215 years if the Amish growth rate, which has held constant for more than 100 years, remains the same. New Order Amish are seen as part of Aug 7, 2012 · The Amish double their population about every 22 years, said Joseph Donnermeyer, the Ohio State professor who led the census project as part of the recent 2010 U. Studies employing the CAPED-2010s are bulldozing old boundaries and generating (1) new comprehensive measures of the Amish population, and (2) state-of-the-art tests of Jan 30, 2011 · The numbers get big quickly. death rate Births and deaths per year with UN projections Births by year and world region Births per year with UN Jul 14, 2025 · The Amish population continues growing at a high rate, with over 400,000 Amish people living in America in over 650 communities. Abstract Current estimates of Amish population growth often cite a “doubling time” figure, but fail to substantiate the source from which the estimate was derived. Population growth among the Amish, and likely growth of the population over age 65, present opportunities for growth of the retail sector over time. The extraordinary growth of the Amish population and the number of Amish settlements in a post-farming world (Donnermeyer and Cooksey 2010) has validated Olshan’s response to the prediction that the Amish would die out as a people if they ever left farming: “The survival of the Amish as a distinct group is much less problematic than their Jul 28, 2022 · From Amish Population Profile, 2022: Growth Trends, 2000-2022. 7bn in 2064 at a similar rate to the UN’s projections, then declining to 8. , low farm acreage price, moderately rolling hills), vicinity to a small commercial center, low to negative population growth, and proximity However, in stable regions, proponents of this theory might suggest that Church growth may continue at a sluggish pace for the time being. Statistics show that the population nearly doubles every 20 years. Profiles 38 major Amish settlements across North America using standardized metrics including population figures, projected growth through 2050, settlement history, socio-economic attributes, religious affiliations, and physical/economic landscape characteristics The fastest growing demographic of the US population are the Amish. Amish families are the largest in the 50 states, and the culture retains many of its members. One aspect of Pew Research Center’s work is population projections, which represent our best assessment about the growth and composition of the future population, either in the U. Midwestern states such as Michigan, Illinois, and Missouri host moderate Amish populations, ranging from 7,760 to 17,920. Amish expansion is driven by affordable rural land, tight-knit communities, and room to grow. Aug 20, 2008 · America's Amish population has nearly doubled and spread out in the past 16 years due to large families, more marriages within the community and longer lifespans, a study showed on Wednesday. Aug 20, 2023 · But Utah and Idaho remain the core. ). This trend is expected to continue, given the community’s high birth rates and lifestyle. Religion Census, plus research and updates associated with tracking the growth and geographic spread of Amish settlements in North America. The Amish do not practice birth control, and large families of five or more children are the norm in their culture. 63 years on average, according to data from Elizabethtown College. Introduction The Maine Office of Policy and Management (OPM) provides population and demographic data discussed in this section. There were 32 states of the United States with an Amish population in 2025 that consists of at least one Amish settlement of Old or New Order Amish, excluding more modern Amish groups like e. Amish Population 2022 (2021): 373,620 (361,635) Growing by +12,150, or +3. Pennsylvania Pennsylvania Amish Population: 95,410 The Amish in Pennsylvania Guide 2. The table includes all Amish groups that use horse-and-buggy transportation, but excludes car-driving Quantitative studies of Amish population dynamics have been methodologically constrained by difficulties identifying Amish in national surveys. The agency also reposted the supplemental file "Demographic Projections" to include corrected values for growth in the civilian noninstitutionalized population and additional information in Table 1 and projections of the population ages 100 and older in Tables 8 and 9. Pennsylvania ranks second with about 59,000 Amish people. Amish families are typically very large Some Amish may average from 5-6, while others register birth rates as high as 9 children per family (such as the Swiss Amish churches of Notes: Population figures include both adults and children. 5 years, representing an annual growth rate of about 3 to 3. The current population of cities and counties in Tennessee is updated annually by the U. If the trend continues the USA will resemble the heart of Lancaster County in 2240 lol… Sandra Greene and 6 others 7 reactions Other posts Will the US resemble Lancaster County by 2240? Summarized by AI from the post below Jonas F Jimenez Amish Mennonite Simplicity - Plainness, Separation & The Mind Of Christ 30w · Public The Amish population has been doubling in size every 20 years…. Nov 17, 2025 · The map above shows the share of each US counties population that may be either Mormon on Amish in 2100. now exceeds 370,000 individuals and continues to experience rapid growth, expanding by approximately 3% annually. Jul 22, 2024 · Benchmarked on the 2020 Decennial Census Count data, our latest round of National Population Projections provides a look into the demographic future (total population, broken down by age and sex) for all 50 states and the District of Columbia over the next few decades of 2030, 2040, and 2050. This shift carries practical implications for local services, infrastructure, schools and health care, and raises questions about planning and equity for all residents. The average number of children per Amish family can vary by settlement and affiliation. The North American Amish population grew by an estimated 223,000 since 2000, increasing from approximately 177,910 in 2000 to 400,910 in 2024, an increase of 125 percent. The table includes all Amish groups that use horse-and-buggy transportation, but excludes car Feb 4, 2025 · While the average family size in the United States has been shrinking for decades, the Amish population continues to grow—doubling approximately every 20 years. Pennsylvania Amish Population: 95,410. Ohio follows with 81,700 people, and Indiana with 52,800. Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Indiana remain core Amish hubs, but states like Montana and Colorado are seeing the fastest growth. Tennessee’s population projection through 2070, is updated every two years and is available for free download. Indeed, the average number of children born to an Amish couple is five, with other communities Sep 10, 2025 · On September 22, 2025, CBO reposted the file of data underlying figures to correct the value for 2027 removals in the box figure. 0 to 24. But which states have the largest Amish populations? Scroll on for the 2025 list. A few outsiders have joined the Amish, but the growth is almost entirely from within the Amish community. The 200 church districts in 1951 have grown to 3,115 in 2025. 76 percent, according to the Young Center’s figures. The map shows them across the Great Plains and Mountain West. Abstract Amish populations cluster in ethnic enclaves, or "settlements," which are located across much of North America, notably in the regions of the Mid-Atlantic, Great Lakes, Midwest, and Upper South. They said the Amish are diversifying their occupations, moving west to find more farmland and i… Finally, Table 6 describes 15 facts about Amish settlements – past and present – plus, a projection about future settlement growth. The North American Amish population grew by an estimated 195,710 since 2000, increasing from approximately 177,910 in 2000 to 373,620 in 2022, an increase of 110 percent. Since 2000, the number of districts has grown from 1,335 to 2,914, an increase of 1,579 districts. D. Sep 3, 2025 · Old Order (horse-and-buggy) Amish currently live in 32 states, three Canadian provinces, and the country of Bolivia. The table includes all Amish groups that use horse-and-buggy transportation, but excludes car-driving Sep 7, 2023 · You can find the Amish population profile, the total Amish population and state figures, and ten-year growth trends on the Young Center website. Every credible population growth scenario supports that. Religion Census. The North American Amish population grew by an estimated 206,380 since 2000, increasing from approximately 177,910 in 2000 to 384,290 in 2023, an increase of 116 percent. Which is like 4 times higher than the average American woman, who have sub replacement fertility. [2] These projections are an important input to forecasts of the population's impact on this planet and humanity's future well-being. Apr 4, 2024 · Its main projection sees population growth peaking at 9. Note: Population figures include both adults and children. Some quick facts from the latest figures: The estimated total Amish Donnermeyer (2015) reviewed the data on Amish population growth rates and found estimates of population doubling time varying from about 20. Oct 27, 2025 · Discover the Amish population in the US in 2025, including total numbers, state-wise distribution, growth trends, and insights into this unique religious community’s lifestyle. states, four Canadian provinces, and, since 2016, two single settlements in Argentina and Bolivia. Some states have proven more attractive to Amish than others. Nov 29, 2022 · We use data from Ohio Amish Directory, Holmes County and Vicinity, 2010 to construct age-sex population pyramids for three different affiliations. Provided the current Amish growth rate holds, in 215 years their population is projected to be larger than the current US population of 327 million. Nov 23, 2015 · Over the past five years, the Amish population growth rate has averaged 3. It’s part of a national trend. Amish population growth To put this in perspective, 7 million Amish would be: Download scientific diagram | The Future -Amish Population and Settlement Projections to 2050 from publication: The Amish Population: County Estimates and Settlement Patterns | This article May 5, 2025 · Key Highlights The U. The total number of Amish settlements is up to 675. Census Bureau. 7% of the state's population. Amish populations in general are increasing rapidly and projected to double approximately every 21 years (2013 study). We use data from Ohio Amish Directory, Holmes County and Vicinity, 2010 to construct age-sex population pyramids for three different affiliations. Apr 10, 2024 · According to the Young Center for Anabaptist and Pietist Studies at Elizabethtown College, the estimated population of North American Amish in 2023 was 384,290 (6,100 in Canada), a 116% increase from 2000. The Amish population doubles about every 20 years. The majority of settlements are experiencing at least a gradual increase in population. Fast & Slow Growers. Ohio Jan 15, 2025 · These are the Vintage 2024 Population Projections that incorporate population trends shown in the latest population estimates. Since 2000, the number of districts has grown from 1,335 to 3,114, an increase of 1,779 districts. The Amish population has increased from an estimated 177,885 in 2000 to 350,665 in 2020. popes population population-change population-density population-divided population-exchange ports portugal postage-stamp postal-codes potassium potato poverty precipitation prices printing prisoners prisons production productivity projections pronunciation propaganda propaganda-maps proposals protestants proverbs prussia public-holidays public Sep 17, 2024 · This statistic shows a forecast for the number of Amish people and Amish settlements in the United States from 2010 to 2050. The growth rate was thought to be exponential, doubling every 20 years. The study’s author uses a similar calculation to predict 7 million Amish by 2100. Missouri, Iowa, Minnesota, the Dakotas—all could have large Amish communities. Historically, most Amish people were farmers, Nolt said. The table includes all Amish groups that use horse-and-buggy transportation, but excludes car Feb 11, 2018 · Maybe they can have population growth mostly only from increasing population density, which is only possible via higher productivity and hence through the adoption of new technologies. the Beachy Amish. Growth is generally expected among the Amish, given large family sizes and high retention rates, although the rate of growth is uncertain. We report on population totals, state by state. Population figures include both adults and children. The largest Amish population is found in the state of Pennsylvania, which has about 87,000 Amish people. The table includes all Amish groups that May 17, 2013 · We include tables showing the 25 largest Amish settlements, the 25 counties with the largest Amish populations, and the 25 counties with the highest percentage of Amish to their total population. 5 to 23. 2. Large families and strong retention rates propel the growth. Estimates were calculated using a variety of sources including Raber’s New American Almanac, reports by correspondents in Die Botschaft, The Budget, and The Diary, settlement directories, regional newsletters, and settlement informants. Amish population reached nearly 400,910 in 2025, with settlements in 32 states. This growth is largely due to high birth rates and a low rate of members leaving the community. And the publication notes that the trend is expected to continue into the foreseeable future. Presents detailed tables, figures, and maps illustrating population distribution and growth of Old Order Amish, Amish-Mennonite, and other plain Anabaptist settlements and population in Kentucky Migration motivated by suitable rural locations—notably outside the rural areas of metropolitan counties—to support religious ideals and retain farming Population growth fueled by high birth rates Aug 18, 2020 · 4. From this data and information gathered from public meetings with local Other posts Will the US resemble Lancaster County by 2240? Summarized by AI from the post below Jonas F Jimenez Amish Mennonite Simplicity - Plainness, Separation & The Mind Of Christ 30w · Public The Amish population has been doubling in size every 20 years…. 5 percent (though as Joe Donnermeyer noted in 2015, a small difference in the rate can make a significant difference when compounded over time). From Amish Population Profile, 2022: Growth Trends, 2000-2022. On the contrary, the Amish population is growing constantly. Every 20 years, the number of Amish people almost doubles. Feb 5, 2024 · The Amish population has been known for its rapid growth over the years. Feb 27, 2017 · They note that “new settlement growth has been most pronounced in states bordering historic regions of Amish settlement. May 2, 2024 · The Amish, a religious group living almost exclusively in rural America due to their agrarian lifestyle, have astounded both their rural neighbors and researchers with recent population growth. The primary forces driving the growth are sizable nuclear families (five or more children on average) and an average retention rate (Amish children who join the church as young adults) of 85 percent or more. Pennsylvania. Beginning in 2033, annual deaths exceed annual births, and net immigration accounts for the growth. I’ll first calculate the total Amish population growth from 1901 to 2023 to get an overview of their numbers. Since 2000, the number of districts has grown from 1,335 to 3,038, an increase of 1,703 districts. We include a map showing the geographic distribution of settlements across Canada and the United States. Jul 25, 2024 · The Amish, a religious group living almost exclusively in rural America due to their agrarian lifestyle, have astounded both their rural neighbors and researchers with recent population growth. or elsewhere. The population across the U. 1. If the trend continues the USA will resemble the heart of Lancaster County in 2240 lol… Sandra Greene and 6 others 7 reactions The Population Structure of the Amish: The Demographic Architecture of One of America’s Fastest Growing Groups Presented at the Population Association of America annual conference. Nov 30, 2012 · As the Amish population in the US grows – forecast to hit 1 million by 2050 – the decline of farmland is forcing the community to spread to new areas and to evolve its agrarian culture. S. County estimates are Statistics compiled by Edsel Burdge Jr. The Amish culture places a high value on family and procreation, leading to higher birth rates compared to many other demographic groups. A recent academic study (on the spread of a “ religion gene “) touches on the same topic. Nov 6, 2023 · In its annual Amish population study, the Young Center for Anabaptist and Pietist Studies at Elizabethtown College estimates that 1,450 Amish babies were born in Lancaster County last year. Aug 19, 2024 · The latest Amish population estimates are up at the Young Center's Amish Studies website. Population by Country: Oct 21, 2025 · New demographic analysis and recent local reports show the Amish community in Holmes County now makes up roughly 41% of residents and is on track to become the nation's first county with a majority Amish population by around 2027. Dec 22, 2015 · Findings suggest that the locations Amish settle have several defining characteristics including: low population density, nonmetropolitan county designation, context conducive to small-scale farming (e. The US Census Bureau emphasises the slowing rate of population growth that began in the 1960s. 3% over the past 12 months (a doubling time of 21. Scroll down or use the jump-links above to check out individual state guides and find an Amish community near you. For ideas on the best Amish community to visit, check out Amish Country: Where To Go (25-Community Guide). Oct 27, 2023 · The population of the Amish community doubles approximately every 20 years, with most families having five or more children. The largest Amish settlement is Lancaster County, Pennsylvania and adjacent counties followed by Holmes and adjoining counties in Growth Trends, 2000-2023. Counties with Amish settlements in 2021. [3] Models of population growth take Appendix I: Amish Groups To maintain their separation from the world, the Amish live in tight-knit communities called “settlements. Mormons would still dominate Utah and Idaho but spread into neighboring By comparison, according to this, between 1992 and 2017 the amish population in the us grew from 125,850 to 313,215, a mere 187k over 25 years. Fifty-two percent of all settlements are just one district in Jan 13, 2025 · In CBO’s projections, the U. Sep 11, 2020 · Large families and a high rate of church membership retention have propelled Old Order Amish groups above 350,000 people, based on the latest estimates from the Young Center for Anabaptist and Pietist Studies at Elizabethtown College. 0 years (Cross, 1976; Donnermeyer et al. On average, families have about five children, but it’s not unusual for them to have ten or more. Additionally, most children remain in the community once they reach adulthood at a rate of 85 percent. However, long-term projections come with significant uncertainty. 5. S population could change over the next 1. I’ll use this information to try to predict how many Amish there will be in 2050. Feb 8, 2018 · And even if Amish population growth continued at current trends, it would still take them over 200 years more to make up 100% of American population, barring some non-Amish population collapse. 2 billion by 2060. Amish population growth I learned today if the Amish were their own country they’d have the highest fertility rate in the world. States ranked according to Amish population in 2019. The North American Amish population grew by an estimated 233,045 since 2000, increasing from approximately 177,910 in 2000 to 410,955 in 2025, an increase of 131 percent. Based on current rates of growth, we project the Amish population, decade by decade, to 2050. The Amish have settled in as many as 32 US-states though about 2/3 are located in Pennsylvania, Ohio and Indiana. Since 2000, the number of districts has grown from 1,335 to 2,827, Sep 12, 2025 · The growth of the Amish population is driven by a combination of factors, including high fertility rates and strong family values. The current state of Amish demographic studies reflects a paucity of useable micro data. Donnermeyer, School of Environment and Natural Resources, The Ohio State University, and with assistance from Adam Hershberger, Ohio Amish Library, Millersburg, Ohio. If Amish could be reliably identified in, for example, the American Community Survey (ACS), researchers could leverage its rich variables to document both demographic outcomes and their social predictors. 35 years). May 28, 2024 · And the growth doesn’t show signs of slowing. Pennsylvania’s Amish population is the largest it’s been, prompting some Amish families in the Lancaster area to move west, researchers said. Amish demography analyses are moving into a new generation with the population-wide Cross-sectional Amish Population and Environment Database-2010s (CAPED-2010s), the first-ever comprehensive Amish population dataset. , NIH-NICHD Postdoctoral Fellow in Social Environments and Population Health at the Population Research Institute, Pennsylvania State University. We’ve looked at how the racial and ethnic makeup of the U. Population pyramids render the growth, decline, and stability of populations visible. 63 years on average, Amish Projected To Overtake The Current US Population In 215 Years, If Growth Rates Continue The population of the Amish is projected to be greater than the current population of the United States in 215 years if the Amish growth rate, which has held constant for more than 100 years, Growth Trends, 2000-2022. Old Order Amish population growth in the 20th century. Aug 13, 2012 · This statistic shows a forecast for the number of Amish people and Amish settlements in the United States from 2010 to 2050. COLUMBUS, Ohio - A new census of the Amish population in the United States estimates that a new Amish community is founded, on average, about every 3 ½ weeks, and shows that more than 60 percent of all existing Amish settlements have been founded since 1990. fynbhvopvpasnhfthubxtcqexhuyzdrvqmgbosdpbqtmmwivlwywgnlqjztyaresztkiuamsn